Category Archives: Investment-Bank Commodity Trading School of Thought

A Quantitative view of Methanex Commercial, Producer and Marketer of Methanol in the Global Markets. Investment-Banking Commodity Trading School of Thought.

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Methanex is a Marketing, Logistics & Supply Chain of Methanol in the major international markets including the North America, Europe, Asia Pacific and South America.

The way to make money as a trader is have a view to be different than the consensus and the the market moving towards that view. The same is true for the strategist at Goldman of the commodity trading firm Mercuria: have a view that is different than the consensus and have that gap narrow.

Based on our model prediction Methanex will create $1.18 CFO per share in Q4-2020.
This translates into a target of $56.22 versus a Wall Street consensus at $41.81 a share. Continue reading →

Banks- Goldman Sachs FICC Short Gamma RE-LOADS ENERGY TRADING Part II

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Sheds a light on a model that doesn’t involve the old school houses and trade finance but gives an ability to trade big VaR when good opportunity comes up. Leveraging Goldman internal flow ( alternate the credit HY research, macro rates, economic team, China EM, DM, Houston FICC) views.

Makes you really think what is necessary and what is “fluff”. Continue reading →